Saturday, May 10, 2008

The Clinton Finale

And so it finally happened, the end of the Clinton era effectively happened when Hillary and Barack split N. Carolina and Indiana but Barack's showing in both states was enough to prove she can't power him out. Even with weeks of bad press Obama roughly tied in Indiana and blew her away in N.C. Now the superdelegates move in his direction, and in fact he now leads by 3 superdelegates as of Saturday May 10.

Nobody can know for sure what exactly is going through Hillary's brain. She has to know she has lost but she doesn't act like she knows it. She may be hanging on for a miracle and there is some speculation that she "knows something." She may be looking for the right time to make a graceful exit, while at the same time hoping for the unexpected controversy to erupt in that timespan. I had thought she would look again at this in 2012 but I'm not so sure of that anymore. Perhaps, but I really think this was a one-time shot for her, she can't really take on a President Obama in 2012 and she doesn't want a fight against an incumbent McCain, she wants an open election. Of course it's possible McCain would only do one term but historically that is very unlikely. But she also loaned her campaign another 6 million dollars and that speaks to a plan and there is also speculation that she has a notion to take this all the way to the convention.

That doesn't seem possible, in that it would be so damaging to the party, and she would be doing so with no realistic argument to be made on her behalf. To argue electability is to constantly insult Obama and his supporters, pointing out daily and in public the potential problems he would have in the general election. That kind of negativity would hurt either of them, I would think. And to be THE reason that Democrats don't unify for the general or THE reason that McCain becomes the next president, if that were to happen, would be to absolutely ruin whatever reputation the Clinton's have within the Democratic party. It's difficult for normal people to understand this intense quest for something, even something as big as the Presidency, but apparently that kind of intensity does exist within her.

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